New York republicans crash and burn

Via Taegan Godard comes this new poll from Constituent Dynamics. The poll shows support for New York republican Members of Congress collapsing:

NY-19: John Hall (D) leads Sue Kelly (R), 49% to 40%
NY-20: Kristen Gillibrand (D) leads John Sweeney (R), 54% to 41%
NY-25: Dan Maffei (D) leads James Walsh (R), 51% to 43%
NY-29: Eric Massa (D) leads Randy Kuhl (R), 52% to 40%

We're also ahead in NY-26, and I suspect (partly based on some gossip I've heard about internal polls) that NY-03 and NY-13 are a part of this inferno.

Get busy, people. We're looking at a possible pickup of seven seats.

Bouldin's picture

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Daniel Millstone's picture

While the method

used by these polls, robo-calls, is suspect, the sample size in each district is huge (in the 19 CD, which I've been following, more than 1,000 voters' answers were included in the poll. How many were children, answering machines etc? But the results are not inconsistent with the Wall St Journal poll which (with much smaller sample size) found 16% of voters supporting the GOP majority in Congress.

mole333's picture

Did I call it or did I call it!

Well, not to be all self-congratulatory like Gatemouth, but...months and months ago, when no one paid attention to the NY Congressional races, I predicted that we had a real shot at making MANY of them competitive. I advocated for using Spizter's momentum to aim for a "sweep" in NY State. Don't expect a sweep, but aiming high can be a great thing. So, aim high and donate for a sweep! (State Senate races at the top, Congress at the bottom)

raulism's picture

Like 'em or not, these polls

Like 'em or not, these polls are probably the only indicator we have of the races. I have been studying the national polls as well, and it looks like the Democrats are going to have a huge victory in November.

So we've got to keep this up! And don't forget Steve Harrison in CD-13. The more I think about Vito Fosella's comparison of Osama Bin Laden to Harrison, the angrier I get. We can't let that go unpunished.

raulism's picture

Let me eat my words. Here

Let me eat my words. Here are the results Sienna College dated 10/16-17.

Sweeney (R) 53
Gillibrand (D) 34

http://dailykos.com says:
This poll should temper some of the giddiness over numbers showing Democrats sweeping out most of the GOP dreck in New York state. It doesn't mean that this poll is right and the others showing Gillibrand leading are wrong. It just means that polls are polls, and oftentimes they are wrong.

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