The GOP Debate: Call Your Broker
Advice for all you traders in political futures, based on first impressions:
Giuliani: Sell. He seriously bungled the abortion questions, and hardly got a chance to talk about how he Totally Ruled on 9/11. There's no reason to think that this won't be a pattern going forward. On the positive side, he didn't totally blow the parts about immigration -- though he didn't get much chance to go into it. Overall, the early reviews are not kind.
McCain: Sell. At least until he figures out how to project passion as opposed to cartoonish, rehearsed rants.
Romney: Hold. He was overly-slick and overly-calculated, but those are qualities that will work better for him over the long run than they do when compressed into a single debate.
Huckabee: Buy. Suddenly I'm not the only one saying this guy's a star waiting to be noticed. And he obviously was ready to deal with his big weakness, the tax issue. He doesn't have any money or organization, so the debates are certainly going to be his main chances to shine. But he did shine. He helped himself tonight.
Brownback: Hold. He's firmly in the second tier, but he didn't do anything to hurt his standing with his evangelical base. Especially if he was one of the loons who raised his hand on the evolution question.
Tancredo: Buy. But buy cheap. He didn't come across as crazy -- at least, I don't know, maybe he has an outside chance at a cabinet spot if a Republican wins next year?
Thompson: Hold, if you have any. He's already been in the cabinet, and there's no reason to think he couldn't do it again, I suppose.
Gilmore: Buy. Not much to go on here, but he handled himself well.
Hunter: Don't tell me you bought stock in Duncan Hunter.
Paul: Buy whatever it is he eats for breakfast, and start kicking ass.
Cross-posted at alien & sedition
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2008 Elections | debates | Republicans
Yeah
Submitted by Paul Curtis on 4 May 2007 - 1:30pm.
Huckabee definitely helped himself, though given the gap in funds & organization it may not mean that much. I'm more and more getting the impression that Romney was last night's main winner. And, of course, Fred Thompson, who won by not showing up.
Hahaha!
Submitted by Bouldin on 5 May 2007 - 7:21pm.
This is the best that the Rs have?
This?
Ronald Reagan's corpse must be spinning in his grave.
Brownback's baby ain't got no back...
Omigod, did anybody see Sam Brownback's wife? I had no idea he was married to a man. And he's the darling of the religious right? If that wasn't a man, then at least that person was devoid of sex organs. Very strange.
Paul, you got it right about Huckabee. I've been saying all along that's their best candidate. He's not a Washington insider, he didn't vote for the war (although he has supported it), and he has a pulse. Let's hope they never figure that out.
I'm afraid I missed much of this snorefest (The Office was hilarious last night). It's good to know that Rudy fumbled his way through. No surprise there. Not only is he less experienced as a debater, but if he is not able to totally control a situation, he doesn't function well. He doesn't play well with others. He's used to doing things HIS way, so it's not his nature to be nice to people. Therefore, he has to force himself to ACT nice, which of course leads to pandering.
This reminds me of a South Park episode in which the guys explain to Cartman that he needs to BE nice and not just ACT nice. Hmm. A lot of similarities between Rudy and Cartman. Rudy was an only child, and so was Cartman. Both are self-centered assholes who throw tantrums. Cartman's mother was a slut, and Rudy married... Well, you get the picture.
The others? Well, Romney had nice hair and a nice suit. McCain? Does it matter? Does he have any chance of gaining support? He's going down.