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Self Interest
Backing the guy who looks the strongest is what is known as enlgihtened self interest.
And Dan, Islanders look at themselves, in the context of NYC politcs, as peasants with pitchforks--3/4ths of them voted to suceed--a Brooklynite running in this seat, rightly or wrongly (and i think wrongly--I voluntered for Sal Albanese in 92) is looked upon in much the way David Yassky was in the 11th.
Now, which is easier? Convincing 3/4 of the voters they're wrong, or trying to sell them something they might want to buy?