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Vanishingly small shot
as of this writing, the Brooklyn Paper reports that Marty's fundraising lags far behind that of the other mayoral hopefuls - so far behind, in fact, that it appears he's not serious about running anymore. Of course, it's possible that Ratner will lay a huge amount of money on him, but at this point it would have to be in the 7-figure range to be meaningful.
While they report that he is still leading voter preference polls, I attribute that to high name recognition as Brooklyn's cheerleader and concert promoter, combined with relatively little attention to this race as yet. If he persists into next year, when people are less distracted by national politics and ready to focus on the mayoralty, any one of the other contenders could easily embarrass him into dropping out. He's simply not in the same class.
Sorry I'm a little late posting on this, but I've been busy lately. ;^)