Via TPM, the Cook Political Report has upgraded its ranking of ten House ratings in favor of Democrats. Among them are CT-04 (Chris Shays) from Lean Republican to Toss-up, and NY-29 (Kuhl), also from Lean Republican to Toss-up.

NY-29 now joins NY-13, NY-25 and NY-26 in the toss-up category; of the three seats we took in 2006, NY-19 and NY-24, represented by Hall and Arcuri respectively, are ranked by Cook as Likely Democratic, and the weakest, NY-20's Kirsten Gillibrand, is considered Lean Democratic at this point. The full report (.pdf) paints a staggering picture of republican weakness.

In the money race, most Democrats are eminently competitive, with one glaring exception: the contenders in the Thirteenth. The FEC database reveals more.

NY-13: no data on either Harrison or McMahon. Anecdotally, Harrison has raised about $140,000, with about $40,000 coming in in the last quarter, McMahon supposedly has less than that.
NY-19: Hall, CoH $1,141,961, raised $1,608,537
NY-20: Gillibrand, CoH $2,474,445, raised $3,165,043
NY-24: Arcuri, CoH $590,541, raised $897,684
NY-25: Maffei, CoH $675,661, raised $853,982
NY-26: Powers, CoH $402,137, raised $598,327
NY-26: Kryszan, CoH $206,747, raised $287,508, debt $97,000
NY-29: Massa, CoH $565,320, raised $898,780, debt $75,820

So there's your New York Congressional battlefield; four pickup opportunities - or three and a half, until NY-13 finally gets some real money raised by the contenders, and some tactical defense in the three districts we took in the last cycle. At this rate, we can probably look at sending some ground troops to take out the faltering republicans in Connecticut and New Jersey, where NJ-03 and NJ-07, both open seats, and CT-04 are ripe for the taking.

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